Saavi's Solution Walkthrough
Hey there! Let's tackle this problem together. It's all about using functions to tell a story about these fish. We'll take it one piece at a time.
Part (a): Average Rate of Change
Remember, the 'average rate of change' is just a more formal way of saying 'slope.' We'll use the slope formula, (y2 - y1) / (x2 - x1), for the two intervals the problem gives us.
Interval from t=0 to t=2:
- Our points are
(0, 1.2) and (2, 1.72).
- Average rate of change =
(1.72 - 1.2) / (2 - 0) = 0.52 / 2 = 0.26
- The units are 'hundreds of fish' divided by 'years'. So, the rate is 0.26 hundred fish per year, or 26 fish per year.
Interval from t=2 to t=5:
- Our points are
(2, 1.72) and (5, 2.10).
- Average rate of change =
(2.10 - 1.72) / (5 - 2) = 0.38 / 3 ≈ 0.127
- The rate is approximately 0.127 hundred fish per year, or about 13 fish per year.
Conclusion:
Since the average rate of change decreased from 0.26 to 0.127, we can conclude that while the fish population is still growing, its rate of growth is slowing down between 2020 and 2025.
Part (b): Comparing the Models
For this part, our job is to be a detective. We have a data point from the real world (P(5) = 2.10) and two suspects (the models Q(t) and E(t)). We need to see which model's prediction for t=5 is closer to the actual data.
Let's plug t=5 into each function:
Quadratic Model Q(t):
Q(5) = -0.04(5)^2 + 0.3(5) + 1.2
Q(5) = -0.04(25) + 1.5 + 1.2
Q(5) = -1 + 1.5 + 1.2 = 1.7
So, the quadratic model predicts 1.7 hundred fish (or 170 fish).
Exponential Model E(t):
E(5) = 1.2(1.15)^5
E(5) ≈ 1.2(2.011357)
E(5) ≈ 2.414
So, the exponential model predicts about 2.414 hundred fish (or 241 fish).
Justification:
The actual population at t=5 is 2.10 hundred fish. Let's see which model is closer:
|Actual - Quadratic| = |2.10 - 1.7| = 0.40
|Actual - Exponential| = |2.10 - 2.414| = |-0.314| = 0.314
Since the difference is smaller for the exponential model, the exponential model E(t) provides a better estimate for the population at t=5.
A common mistake here is just calculating the values but not explicitly comparing them to the data point to make a final conclusion. Always make sure to answer the question that's asked!
Part (c): Reaching the Lake's Limit
Here, we're asked to find when the population reaches 800 fish. The problem states that P(t) is in hundreds of fish, so the first step is to convert 800 fish into the right units.
800 fish = 8 hundred fish. So, we need to find t when E(t) = 8.
Set up the equation:
1.2(1.15)^t = 8
Now, we need to solve for t, which is stuck up in the exponent. This is a job for logarithms!
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Isolate the exponential term: Divide both sides by 1.2.
(1.15)^t = 8 / 1.2
(1.15)^t = 6.666... or 20/3
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Take the logarithm of both sides: You can use the natural log (ln) or the common log (log₁₀). Both work! I'll use the natural log.
ln(1.15^t) = ln(20/3)
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Use the power rule for logs: This lets us bring the exponent t down in front.
t * ln(1.15) = ln(20/3)
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Solve for t: Divide by ln(1.15).
t = ln(20/3) / ln(1.15)
t ≈ 1.8996 / 0.13976
t ≈ 13.59 years
The question asks for the calendar year. Since t=0 is the start of 2020, t=13 represents the end of 2033. The population will exceed the limit during the 13th year, which is 2033. So, the population first reaches the limit in the year 2033.
This is a place where students often slip up. They solve for t correctly but forget to interpret it back into the context of the problem, which asks for a calendar year. Always double-check what the question is asking for!